arizona primary voter suppression

3/22 Democratic Primary Predictions

Using PoliticalEdu’s Democrat primary model – which relies heavily on state demographics and is 25/26 so far – we have our predictions for the March 22 contests in Arizona, Idaho, and Utah.  Keep in mind these show the win probability, not forecasted vote shares (and so little information regarding delegates can be gleaned from this model; a vote share model is in the works).

State


Hillary Clinton Win Probability


Bernie Sanders Win Probability


Arizona85%15%
Idaho8%92%
Utah9%91%

 

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