Analysis, Models, and Predictions
How will the candidates likely fare on the caucus-filled Saturday?
Will Clinton bag another Tuesday sweep or will Sanders roar back to prominence?
How we predict state victor and vote shares.
The header image shows pledged delegate counts for the Republican and Democratic nominations. A Republican needs 1237 pledged delegates to win the nomination and a Democrat needs 2383 delegates. The Democratic tally does not include super delegates as their support can change throughout the course of the primary season. Including them expands Hillary Clinton’s lead to around 550 delegates.