florida early vote

Florida Early Voting Statistics

Current polling average among select demographic breakdowns
TrumpClintonTrumpClinton
Dem5.00%91.67%White0.540.3575
Rep85.67%8.67%Black0.10250.8325
Ind43.00%42.00%Hispanic0.3550.5425
Other00
Current turnout and electorate composition by party.  Combined with polling averages, early vote tallies are estimated as well as a final vote tally (that assumes an impossible 100% voter turnout) if the electorate’s composition does not change.
DemRepInd Trump Clinton
2016 Turnout53%55%41% 2,778,151 3,081,056
2016 Percent of Electorate40%39%19% 5,476,659 6,076,773
WhiteBlackHispanicOtherUnknownTrumpClinton
2016 Percent of Electorate66%13%15%6%0% 2,718,005 2,745,197
2016 Percent of Electorate66%13%15%6%0% 5,353,977 5,407,540
Averaging the approximated vote shares by demographics yields this approximated early vote tally.
TrumpClinton
Estimated Early Votes (Average of Above Breakdowns) 2,748,078 2,913,127
If current turnout remains the same through election day, we might see these final results.
TrumpClinton
If this pattern holds, estimated final vote tally 5,415,318 5,742,157
Compare to 2012.
2012 Early Votes (Estimates)
Obama 2,267,68150.74%
Romney 2,158,40448.29%
What percent of the 2012 early vote does each candidate have?
TrumpClinton
Percent of 2012 Early Vote127%128%
Who’s leading the early vote?
TrumpClinton
Share of Early Vote42.8%45.3%
Likely due to relative third-party popularity, both candidate’s early vote percentage is running behind their predecessor’s.
TrumpClinton
Points Ahead/Behind 2012 Early Vote Share-5.52%-5.39%

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