florida early vote

Florida Early Voting Statistics

Current polling average among select demographic breakdowns
Trump Clinton Trump Clinton
Dem 5.00% 91.67% White 0.54 0.3575
Rep 85.67% 8.67% Black 0.1025 0.8325
Ind 43.00% 42.00% Hispanic 0.355 0.5425
Other 0 0
Current turnout and electorate composition by party.  Combined with polling averages, early vote tallies are estimated as well as a final vote tally (that assumes an impossible 100% voter turnout) if the electorate’s composition does not change.
Dem Rep Ind  Trump  Clinton
2016 Turnout 53% 55% 41%  2,778,151  3,081,056
2016 Percent of Electorate 40% 39% 19%  5,476,659  6,076,773
White Black Hispanic Other Unknown Trump Clinton
2016 Percent of Electorate 66% 13% 15% 6% 0%  2,718,005  2,745,197
2016 Percent of Electorate 66% 13% 15% 6% 0%  5,353,977  5,407,540
Averaging the approximated vote shares by demographics yields this approximated early vote tally.
Trump Clinton
Estimated Early Votes (Average of Above Breakdowns)  2,748,078  2,913,127
If current turnout remains the same through election day, we might see these final results.
Trump Clinton
If this pattern holds, estimated final vote tally  5,415,318  5,742,157
Compare to 2012.
2012 Early Votes (Estimates)
Obama  2,267,681 50.74%
Romney  2,158,404 48.29%
What percent of the 2012 early vote does each candidate have?
Trump Clinton
Percent of 2012 Early Vote 127% 128%
Who’s leading the early vote?
Trump Clinton
Share of Early Vote 42.8% 45.3%
Likely due to relative third-party popularity, both candidate’s early vote percentage is running behind their predecessor’s.
Trump Clinton
Points Ahead/Behind 2012 Early Vote Share -5.52% -5.39%

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