Nevada Early Voting

Dem Rep Ind Total
Registered Voters (10/24/2016)  666,222  547,429  355,570  1,679,254
Percent of Electorate 39.67% 32.60% 21.17%
Current polling average among select demographic breakdowns
Trump Clinton
Dem 4.00% 91.00%
Rep 86.00% 9.00%
Ind 33.00% 43.00%
Current turnout and electorate composition by party.  Combined with polling averages, early vote tallies are estimated as well as a final vote tally (that assumes an impossible 100% voter turnout) if the electorate’s composition does not change.
Dem Rep Ind  Trump  Clinton
2016 Turnout 48.67% 50.89% 47.01%  307,816  391,921
2016 Percent of Electorate 42.10% 36.20% 21.70%  671,315  854,740
Averaging the approximated vote shares by demographics yields this approximated early vote tally.
Trump Clinton
Estimated Early Votes  307,816  391,921
If current turnout remains the same through election day, we might see these final results.
Trump Clinton
If this patter holds, estimated final vote tally  671,315  854,740
Compare to 2012.
2012 Early Votes (Estimates)
Obama  371,304 52.90%
Romney  320,505 45.67%
What percent of the 2012 early vote does each candidate have?
Trump Clinton
Percent of 2012 Early Vote 96.0% 105.6%
Who’s leading the early vote?
Trump Clinton
Share of Early Vote 39.98% 50.90%
Likely due to relative third-party popularity, both candidate’s early vote percentage is running behind their predecessor’s.
Trump Clinton
Points Ahead/Behind 2012 Early Vote Share -5.69% -2.00%

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