Nevada Early Voting

DemRepIndTotal
Registered Voters (10/24/2016) 666,222 547,429 355,570 1,679,254
Percent of Electorate39.67%32.60%21.17%
Current polling average among select demographic breakdowns
TrumpClinton
Dem4.00%91.00%
Rep86.00%9.00%
Ind33.00%43.00%
Current turnout and electorate composition by party.  Combined with polling averages, early vote tallies are estimated as well as a final vote tally (that assumes an impossible 100% voter turnout) if the electorate’s composition does not change.
DemRepInd Trump Clinton
2016 Turnout48.67%50.89%47.01% 307,816 391,921
2016 Percent of Electorate42.10%36.20%21.70% 671,315 854,740
Averaging the approximated vote shares by demographics yields this approximated early vote tally.
TrumpClinton
Estimated Early Votes 307,816 391,921
If current turnout remains the same through election day, we might see these final results.
TrumpClinton
If this patter holds, estimated final vote tally 671,315 854,740
Compare to 2012.
2012 Early Votes (Estimates)
Obama 371,30452.90%
Romney 320,50545.67%
What percent of the 2012 early vote does each candidate have?
TrumpClinton
Percent of 2012 Early Vote96.0%105.6%
Who’s leading the early vote?
TrumpClinton
Share of Early Vote39.98%50.90%
Likely due to relative third-party popularity, both candidate’s early vote percentage is running behind their predecessor’s.
TrumpClinton
Points Ahead/Behind 2012 Early Vote Share-5.69%-2.00%

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *